I am a PhD student in the School of Politics and International Relations at Queen Mary University of London, interested in comparative political behaviour and public opinion. You can see my full CV here.

I have written in Political Studies Review on conceptual issues in research on the ‘bandwagon effect’. My research note on why political party members quit, co-authored with Tim Bale, is OnlineFirst at Party Politics. I have also recently collaborated with Thomas Zerback and Carsten Reinemann on a study of how well people remember the results of vote intention polls, punlished in Mass Communication and Society. I am in the process of adapting chapters of my PhD thesis and other working papers for publication as journal articles.

My doctoral research focuses on the ‘bandwagon effect’ and related issues involving opinion polls, electoral expectations and voting behaviour. The empirical contributions include experimental studies of how people base their electoral expectations on the momentum parties have in the polls, conjoint experiments on the effect of polls on the vote in the 2020 US presidential election, and a panel study of the bandwagon effect for the Labour Party in the 2017 UK general election.

I graduated from my BA in Modern Languages and European Studies at the University of Bath in 2017, following this with a Master’s degree in Political Research. My Master’s dissertation, supervised by Peter Allen and Aurelien Mondon, studied post-decision attitude change among Labour-Conservative vote switchers at the 2017 general election. I joined SPIR at Queen Mary in 2018. My PhD supervisors are Javier Sajuria and Philip Cowley.

Matthew Barnfield
School of Politics and International Relations
Queen Mary University of London
ArtsOne, Mile End Road
E1 4NS

Recent publications

Zerback, T., Reinemann, C., and Barnfield, M. (2021) Total recall? Examining the accuracy of poll recall during an election campaign. Mass Communication and Society.

Barnfield, M. and Bale, T. (2020) ‘Leaving the red Tories’: Ideology, leaders, and why party members quit. Party Politics.

Barnfield, M. (2019) Think twice before Jumping on the Bandwagon: Clarifying Concepts in Research on the Bandwagon Effect. Political Studies Review.